// BULLISH
Extreme conviction across all tweets - calls it his next 10x moonshot after AXTI, frequently compares to LITE potential, sees massive structural mispricing at $250-400M MC for critical laser supplier to hyperscalers. Multiple posts expressing shock at valuation disconnect
"$SIVE is my personal favorite next 10x AXT moonshot at today's prices... $SIVE at ~$400m MC is a name I genuinely believe... Institutions missed as the upstream laser chokepoint for hyperscalers"
Strong bullish sentiment across multiple posts - Serenity sees MRVL benefiting from Google TPU development talks with Sive as light source, and expects them to benefit from $2B NVDA investment in Celestial CPO program. Views MRVL as compounding beneficiary of hyperscaler supply chains
"$MRVL in talks to develop $GOOGL TPU for two different chip models. High possibility $SIVE likely became the light source for Google's supply chains"
Strong historical conviction with massive realized gains (500%+ mentioned), calls it his 'most legendary thesis to date' and 'legendary status', but notes some caution about current overvaluation and potential dilution concerns
"It's still funny that there's so many: 'If you invested $10K into ____ you would have ____ today!' Then they're all the stocks I was the original thesis poster on from $AXTI to $IQE"
Strong bullish sentiment with major realized gains (600%+ mentioned), sees as beneficiary of photonics supercycle with unique positioning in merchant capacity. Validates thesis through institutional buying
"My $IQE call… might actually outperform my legendary $AXTI thesis soon? It's only been 2 months: Now it's up over +316% after institutions started publicly buying"
Strong performance mentioned (triple digit return in 40 days), positioned as beneficiary of photonics/foundry trends, but notes surprise at rapid gains
"Wow, my 16th 100%+ return this year alone: $TSEM ($113 -> $226). Timeline: 40 days"
Strong bullish conviction despite current underperformance - cites multiple positive catalysts, Huberman endorsement, and sees significant upside from current levels
"It's still pretty incredible $HIMS is down 44% even after: 1. $NVO de-risking + partnership 2. Multiple global acquisitions expanding DTC distribution network"
Bullish on transformers/switchgear bottleneck thesis, up 21% since his post, expects continued outperformance though notes not everything can be 100%+ quickly
"$HPS.A is up 21% since my thesis 2 weeks ago. Unfortunately, not everything can go up 100% every 2 weeks like $AXTI"
Strong bullish sentiment - sees as center of silicon photonics bottleneck at $1.1B MC, multiple hyperscalers qualifying, compares to early AAOI stage before massive ramp
"$AEHR receives $41M production order from lead hyperscaler customer. As I said after earnings, they indicated volume ramp 'shortly after'"
Strong conviction across multiple posts - expects largest 1.6T capacity in US, sees as beneficiary of photonics supercycle, significant realized gains mentioned
"$AAOI expects to have the largest production capacity of 1.6T optical transceivers in America. Just as optical TAM is expected to ramp to $100B in a bull case"
Strong bullish thesis on Western monopoly for silicon photonics/CPO substrates, significant gains mentioned, sees continued upside despite some volatility
"Soitec is now up 64% in 1 month since my TLDR thesis post... my longs, especially with CPO/Silicon Photonics related stuff like $SIVE that scales into"
Bullish sentiment with MSFT Quantum as core hyperscaler customer, sees duopoly positioning in MBE space, up 113% mentioned
"$ALRIB is starting to grow on me. First they have $MSFT Quantum as their core hyperscaler customer"
Strong historical conviction with major gains realized, sees as key beneficiary of photonics supercycle, frequently used as comparison benchmark for other names
"$LITE $371 -> $836 in the last 4 months. Not bad for a $58B company despite macro?"
Strong bullish conviction on stablecoins with 148% gains mentioned, sees long-term disruption potential of card networks
"$CRCL is now up 148.15% in 1 month. If people are wondering why my YTD is ~500%? It's because I look at fundamentals, not scribbles on a chart"
Strong positive sentiment as superior alternative to IREN, mentions significant YTD outperformance and Jensen Huang endorsement
"There's a reason $IREN is down -7.9% YTD. While $NBIS is up 61.1% YTD... Jensen Huang from $NVDA: '$NBIS will take care of you.'"
Positive sentiment as beneficiary of photonics supercycle, mentions NVDA $2B investment, sees as key player in optical space
"The market are missing the implications from $NVDA investing: $2B into $COHR for optical"
Strong conviction with thesis validation - predicted 48-55% growth vs analyst 14-17%, significant gains realized, sees long runway ahead
"Thesis validation in effect. $RPI up 44.76% after earnings. Raspberry Pi likely has a long way to go with some ~11-13x p/e projections for 2027"
Strong positive sentiment on memory supercycle, criticizes shorts, mentions compressed forward earnings as bullish
"$SNDK is a perfect example why you don't trust firms named after tangerines. Forward earnings compresses extremely hard with Sandisk"
Mildly positive mentions related to TPU development and supply chain positioning with SIVE/MRVL, but not a core focus or strong conviction play
"$MRVL in talks to develop $GOOGL TPU for two different chip models"
Brief positive mention in earnings outlook context - 'Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr' - but not detailed analysis or strong conviction
"Just some TLDRs to save you time: 1. $ASML, $TSM earnings = Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr"
Positive mentions regarding earnings outlook and role as 'backbone of semis/ai', but not a major focus or detailed thesis
"Just some TLDRs to save you time: 1. $ASML, $TSM earnings = Good Outlook. Semis + capex go brrr"
Brief positive mention about foundry price hikes benefiting foundries, but minimal detail or conviction expressed
"4. $UMC = price hike for foundry. foundries go brrr"
Mixed signals - positive mention of Samsung benefiting from TSLA AI chips, but also calls TSLA overvalued despite believing in Elon's capabilities
"3. Samsung go brrr because of partly bc of $TSLA AI Chips... Yes, $TSLA looks overvalued by every"
Mildly positive comment about the gold card being 'sexy' with question about going long, but not strong conviction
"Woah, the $HOOD gold card is sexy. Long Robinhood?"
Positive mentions as customer/partner for SIVE lasers in optical transceivers, but not a direct investment thesis
"IT'S OFFICIAL: $JBL to use $SIVE Lasers for their optical transceivers"
Mixed signals - sees as beneficiary of recovery from oversold levels but notes significant drawdown from macro, expects eventual outperformance
"Thank you $MSFT and $META. The selloff overreaction presented a buying opportunity when: -> Microsoft hit $360 and Meta hit $525"
Similar to MSFT - sees buying opportunity after selloff but notes significant macro impact, expects recovery
"Thank you $MSFT and $META. The selloff overreaction presented a buying opportunity when: -> Microsoft hit $360 and Meta hit $525"
Mixed sentiment - mentions it among recovery plays but notes significant drawdown from macro, not strong conviction either way
"Buying back some names that crashed from macro like $MSFT (-21%), $RDDT(-36%), or $HOOD (-31%)"
Positive mention as beneficiary of increased volatility from geopolitical events, though notes he forgot to take position
"Regardless, I completely forgot to take call options on market makers like $VIRT. Since they are probably cheering and profiting off of increased"
Generally positive but not core focus - sees as driving CPO/photonics investments and benefiting broader ecosystem
"$NVDA is driving CPO, extremely, extremely hard. As seen with investments in $MRVL, $LITE, and $COHR"
Positive mentions in context of photonics ecosystem and potential acquisitions, but not detailed investment thesis
"Maybe T1 semi like $NVDA, given their recent funding of... Since Broadcom became their lead customer"
// BEARISH
Skeptical of valuation at $1.8B compared to more established players like Foxconn's optical arm - questions how they justify current pricing
"Sorry but I'm convinced $LWLG is the current $RGTI of photonics. I have zero clue… How they're valued at $1.8B"
Used as negative comparison for LWLG, implying overvaluation and skepticism of business model
"Sorry but I'm convinced $LWLG is the current $RGTI of photonics"
Extreme mockery of the business model - shoe brand pivoting to GPU-as-a-Service, clear disbelief at the absurdity
"I'm at a loss for words. wtf is this $BIRD is up 572% after: 'Allbirds executed a $50M convertible financing facility… to fund a pivot into GPU-as-a-Service and AI cloud infrastructure' This is a shoe brand?"
Extremely negative across multiple posts - consistently criticizes $6B dilution as structural overhang, calls holders 'delusional', compares unfavorably to NBIS
"The community / influencers shilling $IREN, $BKKT, and $ASST are the most delusional and harmful group on X"
Groups with IREN as 'most delusional and harmful', mentions 99% crash history, clearly very negative
"The community / influencers shilling $IREN, $BKKT, and $ASST are the most delusional and harmful group on X"
Grouped with IREN and BKKT as 'most delusional and harmful', strongly negative sentiment
"The community / influencers shilling $IREN, $BKKT, and $ASST are the most delusional and harmful group on X"